Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Unión monetaria. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Unión monetaria. Mostrar todas las entradas
sábado, 6 de julio de 2013
miércoles, 1 de mayo de 2013
viernes, 26 de abril de 2013
lunes, 15 de abril de 2013
martes, 2 de abril de 2013
martes, 29 de enero de 2013
jueves, 23 de agosto de 2012
jueves, 2 de agosto de 2012
The evolution of treasury and muni bond yields
Aca
What’s depicted below is the 10 year US Treasury versus the 10 year muni bond index. As you can see, the yields have an extremely high correlation – muni bonds practically ARE treasury bonds. So why are yields surging in Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal, but they’re remaining so tame in the muni market? Simple – the US government, which can always procure funds via taxes and bond sales therefore making solvency a non-issue, provides substantial federal aid to the states every year. While this doesn’t eliminate the solvency issue at the state level it certainly helps reduce it substantially. Europe has no such mechanism in place so what you basically have is a bunch of US states in an environment where they’re left to fend for themselves. They can’t print their own currency, they can’t devalue their own currency and they can certainly run out of Euros. The result is bond investors who are terrified about default and end up selling bonds which only exacerbates the budgeting process.
What’s depicted below is the 10 year US Treasury versus the 10 year muni bond index. As you can see, the yields have an extremely high correlation – muni bonds practically ARE treasury bonds. So why are yields surging in Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal, but they’re remaining so tame in the muni market? Simple – the US government, which can always procure funds via taxes and bond sales therefore making solvency a non-issue, provides substantial federal aid to the states every year. While this doesn’t eliminate the solvency issue at the state level it certainly helps reduce it substantially. Europe has no such mechanism in place so what you basically have is a bunch of US states in an environment where they’re left to fend for themselves. They can’t print their own currency, they can’t devalue their own currency and they can certainly run out of Euros. The result is bond investors who are terrified about default and end up selling bonds which only exacerbates the budgeting process.
domingo, 29 de julio de 2012
miércoles, 25 de julio de 2012
martes, 24 de julio de 2012
miércoles, 11 de julio de 2012
El 'pecado original' de la Union Europea
Aca
"When the European Monetary Union was set up, member-states adopted what was essentially a foreign currency (the euro) but were left in charge of their own fiscal policy. Dimitri Papadimitriou and Randall Wray explain in a new Policy Note (“Euroland’s Original Sin“) why this basic structural defect was always bound to tear the eurozone apart. The solvency crises and the bank runs afflicting Spain, Greece, and Italy were entirely foreseeable (and as Papadimitriou and Wray point out, entirely foreseen). Unless something is done to remedy this design flaw, the EMU will continue to crumble."
"When the European Monetary Union was set up, member-states adopted what was essentially a foreign currency (the euro) but were left in charge of their own fiscal policy. Dimitri Papadimitriou and Randall Wray explain in a new Policy Note (“Euroland’s Original Sin“) why this basic structural defect was always bound to tear the eurozone apart. The solvency crises and the bank runs afflicting Spain, Greece, and Italy were entirely foreseeable (and as Papadimitriou and Wray point out, entirely foreseen). Unless something is done to remedy this design flaw, the EMU will continue to crumble."
martes, 10 de julio de 2012
domingo, 24 de junio de 2012
jueves, 21 de junio de 2012
jueves, 7 de junio de 2012
miércoles, 23 de mayo de 2012
domingo, 29 de abril de 2012
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