Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Ciclos económicos. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Ciclos económicos. Mostrar todas las entradas

jueves, 25 de octubre de 2012

Misunderstanding financial crises. Entrevista a Gary Gorton

Aca


"We know from the data that when there is less government debt outstanding, the private sector creates private “safe” substitutes. If there is more government debt outstanding, the privately-created “safe” debt shrinks. This is because of the demand in the economy for “safe” assets.

Privately-produced safe debt can be created without being vulnerable to bank runs with the right regulation. It would be better for the government to oversee the creation of privately-produced safe debt than to try to create enough government debt to meet the demand."

Reseña del libro de Gorton

domingo, 8 de abril de 2012

Brad DeLong sobre teorías de los ciclos

Aca. 'The general glut of Thomas Robert Malthus'

Todo lo sue ha venido diciendo Brad DeLong: This time is not different: Walter Bagehot and the persistent concerns of financial macroeconomics.

What Bagehot said

DeLong: We need a hegemony:

 "From this perspective monetary policy is and always has been about supporting asset prices at a level that allows firms that ought to be expanding to obtain finance and expand profitably. And ever since 1825 the central bank has done this by, whenever it needs to, taking long-duration and risky assets into its own portfolio--and thus off of the stock that must be held by the private sector whose risk tolerance has collapsed."

lunes, 27 de febrero de 2012

The balance sheet recession and The Great Stagnation

Tyler Cowen

"Many people point out that we are in a balance sheet recession. I agree with this view but wish to push it one step deeper. The negative wealth and income effects on debtors are positive wealth and income effects for the creditors. If the creditors were keener to invest that money in useful, productive activities the economy would be much stronger. Balance sheet recessions are most problematic when the investment channel is for some reason broken or especially weak."